DAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAC - Danaos Corporation

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$103.45
-1.29 (-1.23%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.06
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.64
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAC is currently trading at $103.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.31 to $101.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.2) is in line with its historical norms (3.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $95.31 - $101.84
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($98.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $95.31 - $101.84
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.50 (3.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $98.41
Resistance Level $104.83
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.16
Wall Street Target $98.00 (-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.9%
Profit Margin 45.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 4.2 vs 3.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $107.78 (+3%)
2-Year Target $110.90 (+6%)
3-Year Target $114.12 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) PE COMPRESSION $104.34 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -3.8%) $500.04 (+377%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: -3.8%) $93.20 (-11%)
Bear: (PE: 3.5, Growth: -3.8%) $79.22 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.14
Bull Case $112.91 (+8%)
Analyst growth 0.2%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case $102.64 (-2%)
Market implied 0.2%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case $69.63 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DAC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAC price and gamma walls.

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