DB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DB - Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

State Commercial Banks
$39.22
0.10 (0.26%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.02
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.72
12.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DB is currently trading at $39.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.46 to $39.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.12, while resistance sits at $40.43.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $38.46 - $39.60
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $38.46 - $39.60
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.12
Resistance Level $40.43
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.63
Wall Street Target $42.60 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Profit Margin 19.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 8.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.59 (+1%)
2-Year Target $40.06 (+2%)
3-Year Target $40.55 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $38.98 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.2%) $193.42 (+394%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 24.2%) $74.88 (+91%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 24.2%) $63.65 (+63%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
Bull Case $64.92 (+66%)
Analyst growth 55.7%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case $59.02 (+51%)
Market implied 55.7%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case $25.77 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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