DCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DCOM - Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$34.02
0.13 (0.38%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DCOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.16
24.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DCOM is currently trading at $34.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.78 to $32.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 103.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DCOM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.60 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $29.78 - $32.75
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 20th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.60)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.78 - $32.75
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.94 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.86
Resistance Level $34.86
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.71
Wall Street Target $38.60 (+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 159.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 103.1%
Profit Margin 27.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 8.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.77 (-3%)
2-Year Target $31.69 (-7%)
3-Year Target $30.64 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $33.77 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.3%) $197.59 (+483%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 26.3%) $68.34 (+102%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 26.3%) $58.09 (+71%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case $68.04 (+100%)
Analyst growth 86.2%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case $61.85 (+82%)
Market implied 86.2%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case $22.59 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.5
Stabilization Target: $37.35 (+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Basswood Capital Managem… SELL 9000 shares 2025-09-09
Raymond A Nielsen SELL 1000 shares 2025-09-08

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Advanced DCOM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DCOM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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