DCTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DCTH - Delcath Systems Inc

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$9.91
0.00 (0.00%) β–²
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: DCTH trades at premium valuation expecting 18.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.83
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DCTH is currently trading at $9.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.04 to $10.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.9) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DCTH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.33 (+125.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $10.04 - $10.50
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 12th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 12th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 125.4% below Wall St target ($22.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.7% growth with 83.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.04 - $10.50
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.11 (11.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.74
Resistance Level $11.15
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.85
Wall Street Target $22.33 (+125.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 83.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.7%
Profit Margin 1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +18.7% premium
PE vs Historical 43.9 vs 26.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +18.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.76 (+19%)
2-Year Target $13.96 (+41%)
3-Year Target $16.57 (+67%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44β†’26) PE COMPRESSION $9.90 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.8, Growth: 169.0%) $33.45 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 169.0%) $17.01 (+72%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 169.0%) $14.46 (+46%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.65
Bull Case $11.97 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case $9.91 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case $7.58 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DCTH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DCTH price and gamma walls.

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