DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$607.56
-0.98 (-0.16%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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1 traders called DDS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.53
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $607.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $613.69 to $670.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $599.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $599.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$613.69 -
$670.02
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DDS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($561.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$613.69 -
$670.02
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$599.50
Resistance Level
$685.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.80
Wall Street Target
$561.33
(-7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$607.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$606.11
(0%)
3-Year Target
$604.90
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$607.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -14.1%)
$453.89
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -14.1%)
$443.63
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -14.1%)
$377.08
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $36.77
Bull Case
$504.26
(-17%)
Analyst growth -24.1%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$458.42
(-25%)
Market implied -24.1%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$410.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$611.45
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J C Watts Jr
SELL
750 shares
2025-10-16
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