DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$572.36
-4.48 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+3.63%
30d:
-9.28%
90d:
-5.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.53
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $572.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $567.05 to $607.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $548.34, while resistance sits at $602.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $548.34, while resistance sits at $602.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$567.05 -
$607.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($519.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$567.05 -
$607.26
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$548.34
Resistance Level
$602.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.50
Wall Street Target
$519.67
(-9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$559.77
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$547.45
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$535.41
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$571.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -14.1%)
$418.68
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: -14.1%)
$417.25
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: -14.1%)
$354.66
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $36.41
Bull Case
$498.51
(-12%)
Analyst growth -23.3%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$453.19
(-20%)
Market implied -23.3%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$401.88
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$611.45
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 1:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J C Watts Jr
SELL
750 shares
2025-10-16
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