DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$164.66
-7.15 (-4.16%)
▼
5d:
+0.04%
30d:
+11.2%
90d:
+27.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
DELL is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $120 2026-05-15 with 3,267 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$218.71
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $164.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.92 to $166.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.57, while resistance sits at $186.39. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DELL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.57, while resistance sits at $186.39. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DELL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$130.92 -
$166.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($170.57)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.7% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$130.92 -
$166.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.57
Resistance Level
$186.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.05
Wall Street Target
$170.57
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 12.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.04
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$199.29
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$214.63
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$172.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$392.73
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 15.4%)
$263.85
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$212.14
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.69
Bull Case
$227.85
(+38%)
Analyst growth 31.4%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$207.14
(+26%)
Market implied 31.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$107.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jennifer D Saavedra
SELL
10200 shares
2026-03-09
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
4417 shares
2026-03-06
Ellen Jamison Kullman
SELL
150346 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced DELL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
