DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$118.26
3.82 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
+2.01%
30d:
-6.05%
90d:
-26.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
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2 traders called DELL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DELL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 39% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DELL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 39% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.15
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.69
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $118.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.20 to $124.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.91 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.91 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$115.20 -
$124.82
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($161.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$115.20 -
$124.82
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.22
Resistance Level
$119.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.96
Wall Street Target
$161.91
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.0%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.23
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$100.47
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$94.14
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$114.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.4%)
$393.90
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 15.4%)
$175.92
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$149.53
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.49
Bull Case
$197.99
(+73%)
Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$179.99
(+57%)
Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$79.78
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$139.04
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced DELL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
