What is the fair value of DVN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DVN to be between $43.42 and $49.23. The current price is $52.10.

What is the analyst price target for DVN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DVN is $54.44. This implies a potential upside of 4.6% from current levels.

DVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DVN - Devon Energy Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$52.11

0.03 (0.07%) ▲

5d: +7.46%

30d: +19.7%

90d: +46.08%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your DVN Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

DVN is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-04-17 with 15,372 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DVN trades at premium valuation expecting 8.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$62.04

Based on 8.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$38.52

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $52.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.42 to $49.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $43.42 - $49.23

Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

Protect Your Profits

DVN is technically overbought (RSI 81). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.44)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with -12.1% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $43.42 - $49.23

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.76

Resistance Level $52.71

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.61

Wall Street Target $54.44 (+4.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.5%

Profit Margin 16.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +8.3% premium

PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 9.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $56.39 (+8%)

2-Year Target $61.07 (+17%)

3-Year Target $66.14 (+27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→10) PE COMPRESSION $51.94 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.5%) $135.13 (+160%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 13.5%) $76.06 (+46%)

Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 13.5%) $59.72 (+15%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 11.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.17

Bull Case $59.92 (+24%)

Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 12.8

Base Case $54.47 (+12%)

Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 11.7

Bear Case $33.09 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Julia Letlow BUY 2025-12-08

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVN price and gamma walls.

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