DVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation
$40.21
0.27 (0.68%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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2 traders called DVN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.44
Based on -2.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $40.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.66 to $38.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.76 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.76 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$35.66 -
$38.61
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.76)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with 7.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.66 -
$38.61
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.98
Resistance Level
$41.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.90
Wall Street Target
$44.76
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.2%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.58
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$45.39
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$48.38
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -8.3%)
$63.09
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -8.3%)
$30.83
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: -8.3%)
$25.46
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.24
Bull Case
$37.87
(-6%)
Analyst growth -13.6%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$34.42
(-14%)
Market implied -13.6%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$27.08
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kelt Kindick
SELL
7685 shares
2025-08-11
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Advanced DVN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVN price and gamma walls.