EBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EBC - Eastern Bankshares, Inc. Common Stock

SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED
$20.49
0.07 (0.37%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EBC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.77
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.73
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EBC is currently trading at $20.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.76 to $20.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: EBC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.42 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $18.76 - $20.02
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.42)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.76 - $20.02
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.99
Resistance Level $20.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.29
Wall Street Target $23.42 (+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.7%
Profit Margin 12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 9.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.14 (-2%)
2-Year Target $19.79 (-3%)
3-Year Target $19.46 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $20.53 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.1%) $69.37 (+239%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 12.1%) $28.90 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.1%) $24.56 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case $43.85 (+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.0
Base Case $39.86 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.4
Bear Case $13.55 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.8
Stabilization Target: $21.61 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Quincy Lee Miller BUY 13706 shares 2025-08-27

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