EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$60.38
0.92 (1.55%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EDU is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EDU is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.16
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $60.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.20 to $58.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.80, while resistance sits at $63.78.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.80, while resistance sits at $63.78.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$55.20 -
$58.44
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EDU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.24)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.20 -
$58.44
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.80
Resistance Level
$63.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$64.24
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.1%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$60.90
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$61.63
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$143.48
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$95.30
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 17.0%)
$81.00
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case
$113.18
(+87%)
Analyst growth 74.5%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$102.89
(+70%)
Market implied 74.5%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$40.09
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EDU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EDU price and gamma walls.
