EGBN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EGBN - Eagle Bancorp Inc
$24.87
0.33 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
-1.93%
90d:
+17.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EGBN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EGBN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.49
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGBN is currently trading at $24.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.32 to $25.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$24.32 -
$25.67
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.32 -
$25.67
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.25
(9.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.50
Resistance Level
$25.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.39
Wall Street Target
$27.13
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.30
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$21.84
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$20.46
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$24.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 67.0%)
$199.70
(+703%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 67.0%)
$83.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 67.0%)
$71.35
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$30.18
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis P Jr. Mathews
BUY
1500 shares
2025-11-21
Louis P Jr. Mathews
BUY
1500 shares
2025-11-19
Eric R Newell
BUY
3050 shares
2025-11-14
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