EGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EGY - Vaalco Energy, Inc.
$4.97
-0.17 (-3.31%)
▼
5d:
+5.07%
30d:
+36.54%
90d:
+29.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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1 traders called EGY this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EGY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EGY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.72
Based on -8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGY is currently trading at $4.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.61 to $4.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.48, while resistance sits at $5.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: EGY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.18 (+64.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.48, while resistance sits at $5.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: EGY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.18 (+64.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$3.61 -
$4.80
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.7% below Wall St target ($8.18)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.61 -
$4.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.48
Resistance Level
$5.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.08
Wall Street Target
$8.18
(+64.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-56.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.41
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$4.15
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$4.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -21.2%)
$10.00
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: -21.2%)
$3.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: -21.2%)
$3.08
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$11.31
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$10.28
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$3.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$5.97
(+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 7:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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