EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$125.40
-0.91 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
-17.89%
90d:
-7.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
EMR is down 7.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $150 2026-03-20 with 4,055 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.76
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.14
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $125.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.73 to $148.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.37 (+32.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.37 (+32.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$130.73 -
$148.85
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($166.37)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$130.73 -
$148.85
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.42
Resistance Level
$134.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.45
Wall Street Target
$166.37
(+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.38
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$113.65
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$108.20
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$125.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.3%)
$215.83
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 10.3%)
$168.18
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$142.95
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.08
Bull Case
$248.28
(+91%)
Analyst growth 76.1%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$225.71
(+74%)
Market implied 76.1%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$87.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$145.13
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Surendralal Lanca Karsan…
SELL
5700 shares
2026-03-10
Matthew S Levatich
SELL
1476 shares
2026-02-10
Nicholas J Piazza
SELL
6703 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced EMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EMR price and gamma walls.
