EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$146.96
-3.76 (-2.49%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$202.45
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $146.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.71 to $149.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$137.71 -
$149.21
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($155.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 5.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$137.71 -
$149.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.00
Resistance Level
$152.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.18
Wall Street Target
$155.95
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$152.68
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$154.66
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$156.67
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$150.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$210.15
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$199.61
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$169.67
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.03
Bull Case
$286.80
(+90%)
Analyst growth 76.6%, PE expands to 40.3
Base Case
$260.73
(+73%)
Market implied 76.6%, PE stable at 36.6
Bear Case
$100.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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