PH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PH - Parker-Hannifin Corporation

MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
$880.43
-1.94 (-0.22%) ▼
5d: -0.72%
30d: -8.65%
90d: -10.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

PH is down 10.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $990 2026-06-18 with 451 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1165.40
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$723.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PH is currently trading at $880.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $890.31 to $979.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (28.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $860.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1037.04 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $890.31 - $979.85
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1037.04)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $890.31 - $979.85
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$38.25 (4.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $860.49
Resistance Level $911.96
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.86
Wall Street Target $1037.04 (+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.9 vs 28.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $855.78 (-3%)
2-Year Target $831.82 (-6%)
3-Year Target $808.53 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→28) $881.73 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.9, Growth: 9.0%) $1139.42 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.0%) $971.15 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 9.0%) $825.48 (-6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.09
Bull Case $1219.89 (+39%)
Analyst growth 25.7%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case $1108.99 (+26%)
Market implied 25.7%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case $600.01 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 28.2
Stabilization Target: $960.14 (+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.1%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
David Taylor BUY 2026-03-12
David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26

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Advanced PH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PH price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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