EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$136.99
1.80 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+0.94%
30d:
-2.84%
90d:
-35.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
EPAM is down 21.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $125 2026-04-17 with 1,000 OI. Call ratio: 94% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When EPAM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.72
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.47
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $136.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.29 to $141.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $130.05, while resistance sits at $141.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.18 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $130.05, while resistance sits at $141.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.18 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$133.29 -
$141.93
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($191.18)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$133.29 -
$141.93
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.42
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.05
Resistance Level
$141.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.70
Wall Street Target
$191.18
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$109.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$98.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$143.28
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$405.08
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$175.39
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$149.08
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.72
Bull Case
$302.35
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$274.86
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$93.45
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$196.54
(+45.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Boris Shnayder
SELL
5000 shares
2025-12-10
Top Rated Information Technology Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Information Technology Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ACN
Accenture plc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$255 | 59 HOLD |
|
FIS
Fidelity National Inform… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$67 | 54 HOLD |
|
GLOB
Globant SA |
BUY
24 analysts |
$73 | 53 HOLD |
|
GDS
GDS Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$56 | 52 HOLD |
|
CACI
CACI International Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$724 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced EPAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
