CACI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CACI - CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA
$486.96
-17.22 (-3.42%)
▼
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
-8.14%
90d:
-15.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CACI is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $660 2026-06-18 with 39 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CACI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CACI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$838.61
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$520.71
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CACI is currently trading at $486.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $494.35 to $532.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CACI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $465.00, while resistance sits at $525.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $696.46 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CACI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $465.00, while resistance sits at $525.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $696.46 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$494.35 -
$532.09
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($696.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$494.35 -
$532.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$26.06
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$465.00
Resistance Level
$525.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.56
Wall Street Target
$696.46
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$458.72
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$432.11
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$407.05
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$486.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$950.97
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 11.2%)
$670.30
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.2%)
$569.75
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.20
Bull Case
$717.39
(+47%)
Analyst growth 29.4%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$652.17
(+34%)
Market implied 29.4%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$342.84
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$582.24
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CACI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Debora A Plunkett
SELL
220 shares
2026-03-11
J William Koegel Jr
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced CACI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CACI price and gamma walls.
