EPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPM - Evolution Petroleum Corporation
$3.94
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.63%
30d:
+11.3%
90d:
-10.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPM is currently trading at $3.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.43 to $3.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 78.8) compared to its historical average (61.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.14 (+30.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.14 (+30.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$3.43 -
$3.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($5.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.8% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.43 -
$3.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.28
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.60
Resistance Level
$3.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
78.80
Wall Street Target
$5.14
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.7%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
78.8 vs 61.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.29
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$4.66
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$5.07
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 79→61)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPM showing a specific setup today?
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