EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$49.96
0.67 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-16.65%
90d:
-1.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.33
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $49.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.33 to $59.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.36, while resistance sits at $56.23.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.94 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.36, while resistance sits at $56.23.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.94 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$51.33 -
$59.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($58.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.33 -
$59.29
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.69
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.36
Resistance Level
$56.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.13
Wall Street Target
$58.94
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
38.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.26
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$46.62
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$45.04
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$49.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.3%)
$76.21
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 3.3%)
$55.00
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 3.3%)
$46.75
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$52.42
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.6%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$47.65
(-4%)
Market implied -5.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$34.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$55.45
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Andrew Moriarty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-16
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
6633 shares
2026-03-10
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-10
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