EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$49.63
0.34 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
-17.21%
90d:
-1.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.33
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $49.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.01 to $59.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.94 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.94 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$54.01 -
$59.73
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($58.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.01 -
$59.73
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.36
Resistance Level
$56.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.91
Wall Street Target
$58.94
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
38.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.37
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$45.52
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$43.75
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$49.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.3%)
$76.21
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$54.26
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 3.3%)
$46.12
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$52.42
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.6%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$47.65
(-4%)
Market implied -5.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$34.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$55.45
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Andrew Moriarty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-16
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
6633 shares
2026-03-10
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-10
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