EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$54.24
0.40 (0.74%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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1 traders called EPR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.13
Based on -2.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $54.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.77 to $54.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.00, while resistance sits at $56.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.00, while resistance sits at $56.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$50.77 -
$54.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($57.77)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$50.77 -
$54.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.83
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.00
Resistance Level
$56.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.06
Wall Street Target
$57.78
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.89
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$55.55
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$56.22
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.9%)
$52.34
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: -7.9%)
$42.40
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: -7.9%)
$36.04
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$74.90
(+38%)
Analyst growth 31.7%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$68.09
(+26%)
Market implied 31.7%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$35.16
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory E Zimmerman
SELL
7500 shares
2025-10-01
Gregory E Zimmerman
SELL
7500 shares
2025-09-02
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