EQT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EQT - EQT CORP

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$57.73
1.40 (2.49%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.74
9.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EQT is currently trading at $57.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.72 to $55.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EQT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: EQT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.94 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $51.72 - $55.61
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $51.72 - $55.61
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.52
Resistance Level $58.28
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.46
Wall Street Target $63.94 (+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 51.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6400.0%
Profit Margin 23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 12.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $57.57 (+2%)
2-Year Target $58.84 (+4%)
3-Year Target $60.13 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $56.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.2%) $285.70 (+407%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 45.2%) $172.48 (+206%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 45.2%) $146.61 (+160%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case $83.89 (+45%)
Analyst growth 36.3%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case $76.27 (+32%)
Market implied 36.3%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case $38.05 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vicky A. Bailey SELL 4259 shares 2025-08-06

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Advanced EQT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQT price and gamma walls.

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