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ERIE Stock Price Prediction 2026

Erie Indemnity Co

$283.01
+$0.91 (+0.32%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • TTM Squeeze ON for 19 days - volatility compression
  • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Slight_Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
-37.0% Overvalued
Fair Value: $178.42 (Current: $283.01)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears overvalued at current levels. Consider waiting for a better entry point or reassess fundamentals.

PEG Ratio
1.59
Fair
Current P/E
22.84
Fair P/E
14.40
Earnings Growth
14.4%
📉

Volume Trend: Slight_Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.066
Money Flow Index (MFI): 61.9

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 39/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

HOLD - Marginal value
Growth Target (1Y)
$444.54
+50.0% upside
Best Strike Found
$420.00
Exp: March 20, 2026, midnight
Call Premium
$17.90
6.0% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$437.90
✓ Below target
Implied Probability
4.1%
Market's confidence
Value Score
37.1
Good buy
📈
POTENTIAL BUYING OPPORTUNITY
Options pricing suggests value relative to growth target

The $420 call expiring Mar 20, 2026 costs $17.90. If ERIE reaches the 1-year growth target of $444.54, this option would be profitable with a 37.1% return.

Note: Options involve significant risk. Only invest what you can afford to lose.

Open Interest: 16 | Volume: 17
Data as of: May 22, 2025
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $282.92 +-0.0%
90 Days $282.73 -0.1%
6 Months $282.44 -0.2%
1 Year $281.88 -0.4%
2 Years EXTENDED $280.75 -0.8%
3 Years EXTENDED $279.63 -1.2%

More ERIE Analysis

Why is ERIE Moving? Buy or Sell ERIE? ERIE Full Analysis ERIE Trendline Analysis
ERIE Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$352.35 (+24.5%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$281.88 (+-0.4%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$197.32 (-30.3%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
46.3
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.07

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
22.84
P/S Ratio (TTM)
3.66x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Market Cap
$14,799M
Analyst Target
$115.00
52-Week High
$283.01
52-Week Low
$278.52
Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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