ERIE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$213.05
-0.26 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
-11.7%
90d:
-23.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ERIE is up 3.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $200 2026-06-18 with 13 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $213.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $216.68 to $251.06.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $210.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $210.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$216.68 -
$251.06
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 46.1% above Wall St target ($115.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$216.68 -
$251.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.44
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.07
Resistance Level
$223.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
