ES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ES - Eversource Energy

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$69.13
0.21 (0.30%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.96
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.14
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ES is currently trading at $69.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.93 to $70.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ES is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $68.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $66.93 - $70.10
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.20)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $66.93 - $70.10
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $68.15
Resistance Level $71.60
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.84
Wall Street Target $73.20 (+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Profit Margin 10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 13.8 vs 13.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $69.26 (+1%)
2-Year Target $69.61 (+1%)
3-Year Target $69.96 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $68.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.8%) $127.82 (+86%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 4.8%) $79.36 (+15%)
Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: 4.8%) $67.45 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.62
Bull Case $105.74 (+53%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $96.12 (+39%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $47.53 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23
Loretta D Keane BUY 3780 shares 2025-08-22

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