Is ESTA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ESTA is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ESTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ESTA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ESTA to be between $60.29 and $74.74. The current price is $54.69.

What is the analyst price target for ESTA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ESTA is $89.00. This implies a potential upside of 62.7% from current levels.

ESTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ESTA - Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.

ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES

$54.69

-0.62 (-1.12%) ▼

5d: -8.25%

30d: -30.51%

90d: -28.46%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

ESTA is down 11.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-05-15 with 775 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.18

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.46

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ESTA is currently trading at $54.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.29 to $74.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 266.8) compared to its historical average (317.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ESTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $54.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+62.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $60.29 - $74.74

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 62.7% below Wall St target ($89.00)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $60.29 - $74.74

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.52 (8.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $54.01

Resistance Level $66.56

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 266.78

Wall Street Target $89.00 (+62.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 45.2%

Profit Margin -24.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 266.8 vs 317.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $51.63 (-6%)

2-Year Target $48.74 (-11%)

3-Year Target $46.01 (-16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 267→317) $54.70 (0%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 266.8 to 317.2

Stabilization Target: $65.03 (+18.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +18.9%

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced ESTA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESTA price and gamma walls.

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