ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
$18.45
-0.08 (-0.43%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
17d
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6 traders called ET this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.07
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $18.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.42 to $17.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.45 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.45 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$16.42 -
$17.90
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Protect Your Profits
ET is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.45)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with -3.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.42 -
$17.90
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.26
Resistance Level
$18.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.16
Wall Street Target
$21.45
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.20
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$19.89
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$20.60
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$51.64
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 15.0%)
$28.16
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$23.93
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$24.11
(+30%)
Analyst growth 22.1%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$21.92
(+18%)
Market implied 22.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$12.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kelcy L Warren
BUY
1350000 shares
2025-08-20
Kelcy L Warren
BUY
650000 shares
2025-08-19
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