ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
$19.51
-0.17 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
+2.33%
30d:
+3.53%
90d:
+20.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ET is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $19 2026-03-20 with 63,751 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.10
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $19.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.59 to $19.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.59 -
$19.19
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 29.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.59 -
$19.19
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.66
Resistance Level
$19.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.66
Wall Street Target
$22.07
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.2%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.22
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$20.51
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$51.66
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$26.88
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$22.85
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case
$29.40
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$26.73
(+40%)
Market implied 40.6%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$12.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kelcy L Warren
BUY
1000000 shares
2025-11-19
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