VNOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$46.79
-0.19 (-0.40%) ▼
5d: -6.23%
30d: +4.4%
90d: +9.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation

VNOM is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 3,331 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.52
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.24
8.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $46.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.60 to $48.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.06 (+21.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $45.60 - $48.69
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($57.06)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.60 - $48.69
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.08
Resistance Level $51.13
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.02
Wall Street Target $57.06 (+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 120.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -14.5%
Profit Margin -2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 24.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.23 (-8%)
2-Year Target $39.95 (-15%)
3-Year Target $36.91 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→24) $46.78 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.7%) $71.30 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.7%) $61.80 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 9.7%) $52.53 (+12%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 24.1
Stabilization Target: $59.30 (+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.7%
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Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
August Pfluger BUY 2026-03-13

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Advanced VNOM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNOM price and gamma walls.

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