EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$11.00
-1.03 (-8.56%) ▼
5d: -9.76%
30d: -4.76%
90d: -5.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.58
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.78
13.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $11.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.73 to $12.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.40, while resistance sits at $12.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.12 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $11.73 - $12.46
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 9th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.12)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.73 - $12.46
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.73 (6.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.40
Resistance Level $12.92
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.40
Wall Street Target $12.13 (+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 16.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.84 (-2%)
2-Year Target $10.67 (-3%)
3-Year Target $10.51 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $10.99 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.0%) $28.22 (+157%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 21.0%) $19.49 (+77%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 21.0%) $16.57 (+51%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.1
Stabilization Target: $11.50 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer SELL 7465 shares 2025-10-22
Eric Richard Remer SELL 11735 shares 2025-10-21
Eric Richard Remer SELL 19200 shares 2025-10-14

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