EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$11.00
-1.03 (-8.56%)
▼
5d:
-9.76%
30d:
-4.76%
90d:
-5.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.58
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.78
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $11.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.73 to $12.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.40, while resistance sits at $12.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.12 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.40, while resistance sits at $12.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.12 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.73 -
$12.46
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.12)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.73 -
$12.46
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.73
(6.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.40
Resistance Level
$12.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.40
Wall Street Target
$12.13
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.84
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$10.67
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$10.51
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$10.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.0%)
$28.22
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 21.0%)
$19.49
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 21.0%)
$16.57
(+51%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$11.50
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
7465 shares
2025-10-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
11735 shares
2025-10-21
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
19200 shares
2025-10-14
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