EVTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVTC - EVERTEC, INC.
$28.26
0.34 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+0.14%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
-4.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EVTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EVTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.35
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVTC is currently trading at $28.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.87 to $29.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVTC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.10, while resistance sits at $29.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.60 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVTC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.10, while resistance sits at $29.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.60 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$26.87 -
$29.24
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.87 -
$29.24
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.34
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.10
Resistance Level
$29.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.57
Wall Street Target
$32.60
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.78
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.68
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$24.62
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$28.12
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$121.91
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$35.83
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$30.45
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$59.21
(+105%)
Analyst growth 93.2%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$53.83
(+86%)
Market implied 93.2%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$18.94
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$31.88
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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