EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.
$11.18
-1.91 (-14.59%)
βΌ
5d:
-24.05%
30d:
-24.41%
90d:
-52.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
29d
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1 traders called EXOD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EXOD is down 24.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EXOD is down 24.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
61.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $11.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.01 to $17.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+192.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+192.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.01 -
$17.06
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 192.2% below Wall St target ($32.67)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -24.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.01 -
$17.06
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.10
Resistance Level
$17.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.56
Wall Street Target
$32.67
(+192.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1923.7%
Profit Margin
79.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-22.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 11.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-22.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6β12)
$17.44
(+56%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 59.5%)
$151.28
(+1253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 59.5%)
$37.73
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 59.5%)
$32.07
(+187%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$9.13
(-18%)
Analyst growth -36.6%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case
$8.30
(-26%)
Market implied -36.6%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case
$8.90
(-20%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.92
(+113.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+113.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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