EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.

FINANCE SERVICES
$11.18
-1.91 (-14.59%) β–Ό
5d: -24.05%
30d: -24.41%
90d: -52.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EXOD is down 24.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
61.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $11.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.01 to $17.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+192.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $14.01 - $17.06
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 192.2% below Wall St target ($32.67)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -24.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.01 - $17.06
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.10
Resistance Level $17.08
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.56
Wall Street Target $32.67 (+192.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 50.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1923.7%
Profit Margin 79.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -22.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.6 vs 11.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -22.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.06 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.06 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.15 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’12) $17.44 (+56%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 59.5%) $151.28 (+1253%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 59.5%) $37.73 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 4.7, Growth: 59.5%) $32.07 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case $9.13 (-18%)
Analyst growth -36.6%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case $8.30 (-26%)
Market implied -36.6%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case $8.90 (-20%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target: $23.92 (+113.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +113.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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