FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$51.94
0.41 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-5.25%
90d:
-8.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.78
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.16
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $51.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.65 to $55.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.58 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.58 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$50.65 -
$55.49
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($66.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$50.65 -
$55.49
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.38
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.20
Resistance Level
$53.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.92
Wall Street Target
$66.58
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Profit Margin
23.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.31
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$47.19
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$45.16
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$51.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$151.46
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$67.19
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$57.11
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$112.02
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$101.84
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$34.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$58.73
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Austin Mcpherson
SELL
8500 shares
2026-01-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-05
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