FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$57.53
-0.66 (-1.13%)
βΌ
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.96
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.99
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $57.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.39 to $59.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$56.39 -
$59.28
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($66.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$56.39 -
$59.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$2.64
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.78
Resistance Level
$62.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.20
Wall Street Target
$66.00
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Profit Margin
23.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$55.66
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$54.43
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11β12)
$58.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$153.28
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$76.98
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$65.44
(+13%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$125.58
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$114.16
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$38.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$62.35
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FBK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FBK price and gamma walls.