FCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FCCO - First Community Corp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$29.32
0.27 (0.93%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: FCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.99
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.07
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FCCO is currently trading at $29.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.05 to $29.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FCCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.89, while resistance sits at $30.99.

Market Sentiment: FCCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $29.05 - $29.91
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.05 - $29.91
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.90
Resistance Level $30.99
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.28
Wall Street Target $32.67 (+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 34.0%
Profit Margin 24.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.24 (-3%)
2-Year Target $27.45 (-6%)
3-Year Target $26.68 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’10) $29.03 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.7%) $87.15 (+200%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 7.7%) $36.27 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 7.7%) $30.83 (+6%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case $38.08 (+31%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case $34.61 (+19%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case $19.43 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.1
Stabilization Target: $31.61 (+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roderick M Todd Jr SELL 1679 shares 2025-09-11

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Advanced FCCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCCO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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