FE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FE - FirstEnergy Corp.

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$50.42
0.39 (0.78%) ▲
5d: +3.38%
30d: -1.45%
90d: +12.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026 22d
Smart Money Accumulation

FE is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 907 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.89
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.53
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FE is currently trading at $50.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.65 to $51.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.20, while resistance sits at $52.29.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $49.65 - $51.12
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.46)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $49.65 - $51.12
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.20
Resistance Level $52.29
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.14
Wall Street Target $52.46 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.5%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 17.1 vs 17.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $50.57 (+0%)
2-Year Target $50.72 (+1%)
3-Year Target $50.88 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) PE COMPRESSION $50.46 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.0%) $82.72 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.0%) $63.45 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: 8.0%) $53.93 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case $89.23 (+83%)
Analyst growth 67.1%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case $81.12 (+66%)
Market implied 67.1%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case $33.01 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James F Oneil SELL 7945 shares 2026-03-11
Jon Taylor K. SELL 26800 shares 2026-03-10
Jason Lisowski SELL 3000 shares 2026-03-06

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Advanced FE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FE price and gamma walls.

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