FFBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FFBC - First Financial Bancorp

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$28.74
-0.06 (-0.21%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: FFBC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.05
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.76
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FFBC is currently trading at $28.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.29 to $27.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FFBC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FFBC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $25.29 - $27.34
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $25.29 - $27.34
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.22
Resistance Level $28.90
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.12
Wall Street Target $30.00 (+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.4%
Profit Margin 31.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 8.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.84 (+4%)
2-Year Target $30.91 (+7%)
3-Year Target $32.02 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $28.80 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.5%) $89.86 (+212%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.5%) $36.74 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 8.5%) $31.23 (+8%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case $35.00 (+22%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case $31.82 (+11%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case $18.50 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:00 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne L Arvia BUY 618 shares 2025-09-30
Thomas Murray Obrien SELL 7383 shares 2025-08-22
Archie M Brown SELL 12500 shares 2025-08-14

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Advanced FFBC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FFBC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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