FHN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHN - First Horizon Corporation
$23.11
0.13 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
+2.46%
30d:
-1.56%
90d:
-3.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FHN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FHN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.28
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHN is currently trading at $23.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.00 to $23.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 72.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.42 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.42 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.00 -
$23.76
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.42)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.00 -
$23.76
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.61
Resistance Level
$23.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.81
Wall Street Target
$27.42
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.3%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.22
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$21.49
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$20.78
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$22.88
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$69.33
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$30.43
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$25.87
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$30.13
(+35%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$27.39
(+22%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$14.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.30
(+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony J Restel
SELL
5719 shares
2026-01-29
Jeff L Fleming
SELL
7619 shares
2025-11-12
David T Popwell
SELL
155149 shares
2025-11-04
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