FIBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIBK - First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$33.40
0.58 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
-5.06%
90d:
-6.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.97
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.13
2.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIBK is currently trading at $33.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.74 to $35.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 115.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIBK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.62 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIBK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.62 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$32.74 -
$35.46
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.74 -
$35.46
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.62
Resistance Level
$33.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.36
Wall Street Target
$38.63
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
115.5%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.13
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$30.91
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$29.74
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$33.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$91.84
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$46.66
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$39.66
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case
$35.81
(+8%)
Analyst growth 0.2%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$32.56
(-2%)
Market implied 0.2%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$22.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$37.65
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
1827 shares
2026-01-06
Jonathan R Scott
SELL
3173 shares
2026-01-05
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10000 shares
2025-12-01
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