FLOC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLOC - Flowco Holdings Inc.
$20.45
-0.55 (-2.62%)
▼
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-9.35%
90d:
+13.55%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLOC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FLOC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.78
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.83
10.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLOC is currently trading at $20.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.25 to $23.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.88 (+46.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.88 (+46.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$22.25 -
$23.57
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.1% below Wall St target ($29.88)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.25 -
$23.57
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.92
Resistance Level
$24.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$29.88
(+46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.57
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$18.73
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$17.92
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$20.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.1%)
$54.90
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$31.15
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 15.1%)
$26.48
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$31.17
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.7%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$28.34
(+29%)
Market implied 30.7%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$14.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.38
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLOC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chad Roberts
SELL
54706 shares
2026-02-03
Chad Roberts
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-02
Chad Roberts
SELL
40884 shares
2026-01-23
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