FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$11.51
0.15 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-7.99%
30d:
-6.5%
90d:
-20.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FLYW is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 263 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.87
42.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $11.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.47 to $12.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.31 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.31 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.47 -
$12.98
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.6% below Wall St target ($16.31)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.47 -
$12.98
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.17
Resistance Level
$12.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$16.31
(+43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$11.98
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 27.1%)
$55.51
(+389%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 27.1%)
$23.30
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 27.1%)
$19.81
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.61
Bull Case
$15.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$12.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$9.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$16.43
(+44.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Butterfield
SELL
9009 shares
2026-03-05
Voss Capital, Lp
BUY
25000 shares
2026-02-13
Peter Butterfield
SELL
13327 shares
2026-01-07
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Advanced FLYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLYW price and gamma walls.
