FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$12.60
-0.31 (-2.40%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.00
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.28
11.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $12.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.73 to $14.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.19 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.19 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.73 -
$14.63
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($17.19)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.2%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.73 -
$14.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.46
Resistance Level
$14.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$17.19
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.66
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.42
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.19
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$12.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.0%)
$32.03
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 18.0%)
$21.22
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 18.0%)
$18.04
(+40%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.72
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FLYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLYW price and gamma walls.
