FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$24.64
-0.11 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-2.76%
30d:
-11.01%
90d:
+0.04%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.07
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $24.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.40 to $27.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+33.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+33.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$24.40 -
$27.17
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($33.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.40 -
$27.17
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.73
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.96
Resistance Level
$25.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.53
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.27
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$23.91
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.55
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$24.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$92.06
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 11.0%)
$33.70
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$28.64
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$27.56
(+10%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$25.06
(0%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$16.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.85
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 6:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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