FPH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FPH - Five Point Holdings, LLC Class A Common Shares

REAL ESTATE
$5.31
-0.28 (-5.01%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 22, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FPH shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FPH is currently trading at $5.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.50 to $5.74.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FPH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.07, while resistance sits at $5.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: FPH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+114.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $5.50 - $5.74
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 114.7% below Wall St target ($12.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.50 - $5.74
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.46 (8.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.07
Resistance Level $5.77
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Wall Street Target $12.00 (+114.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 323.3%
Profit Margin 48.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FPH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FPH price and gamma walls.

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