FPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FPI - Farmland Partners Inc.
$11.61
0.20 (1.75%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $11.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.82 to $10.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 72.6) compared to its historical average (63.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$9.82 -
$10.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
Protect Your Profits
FPI is technically overbought (RSI 81). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.82 -
$10.94
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.50
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.48
Resistance Level
$11.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
72.56
Wall Street Target
$11.88
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
179.0%
Profit Margin
130.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
72.6 vs 63.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.13
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.68
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$13.25
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 73→64)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 72.6, Growth: -55.6%)
$8.46
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -55.6%)
$2.60
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -55.6%)
$2.21
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case
$6.02
(-48%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$5.48
(-53%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$7.45
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FPI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FPI price and gamma walls.
