FSUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$36.46
0.62 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
-1.78%
90d:
-4.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSUN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSUN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.57
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.27
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $36.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.36 to $37.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.36 -
$37.40
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($46.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.36 -
$37.40
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.09
Resistance Level
$37.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.31
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.3%
Profit Margin
24.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.45
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$32.56
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$30.77
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$36.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 23.9%)
$212.09
(+482%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 23.9%)
$69.37
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 23.9%)
$58.96
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$56.14
(+54%)
Analyst growth 43.7%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$51.04
(+40%)
Market implied 43.7%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$24.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.39
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 1:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 AM
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