FTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTI - TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$68.80
-2.39 (-3.36%) ▼
5d: +1.18%
30d: +3.76%
90d: +54.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FTI Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 30d
Smart Money Accumulation

FTI is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-04-17 with 1,986 OI. Call ratio: 92% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.79
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.03
1.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTI is currently trading at $68.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.33 to $68.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.72, while resistance sits at $72.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: FTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $63.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $63.33 - $68.46
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 11.0% above Wall St target ($63.38)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $63.33 - $68.46
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $63.72
Resistance Level $72.59
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.38
Wall Street Target $63.38 (-11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.7%
Profit Margin 9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 20.4 vs 18.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $73.40 (+3%)
2-Year Target $75.67 (+6%)
3-Year Target $78.02 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $71.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.6%) $133.85 (+88%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.6%) $121.79 (+71%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 19.6%) $103.52 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case $109.16 (+61%)
Analyst growth 52.1%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case $99.24 (+46%)
Market implied 52.1%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case $44.38 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alf Melin SELL 43554 shares 2026-03-10
Alf Melin SELL 83721 shares 2026-03-09
David Light SELL 6622 shares 2026-03-09

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Advanced FTI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTI price and gamma walls.

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