FTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTI - TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$55.72
-0.20 (-0.36%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FTI Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.10
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.08
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTI is currently trading at $55.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.26 to $54.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (17.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $49.17. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $46.26 - $54.14
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.4%

Protect Your Profits

FTI is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.1% above Wall St target ($49.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $46.26 - $54.14
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.46
Resistance Level $56.93
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.21
Wall Street Target $49.17 (-12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.0%
Profit Margin 9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.3% premium
PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 17.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.88 (+5%)
2-Year Target $62.00 (+11%)
3-Year Target $65.29 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→17) PE COMPRESSION $55.88 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.8%) $111.52 (+99%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.8%) $101.09 (+81%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 21.8%) $85.93 (+54%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case $75.73 (+36%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case $68.85 (+24%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case $37.57 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alf Melin SELL 113760 shares 2025-09-22
Douglas J Pferdehirt SELL 632539 shares 2025-09-22
Douglas J Pferdehirt SELL 80304 shares 2025-09-22

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Advanced FTI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTI price and gamma walls.

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