FTK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTK - Flotek Industries, Inc.
$17.37
-1.18 (-6.36%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: FTK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 28th percentile) and market pricing in only 3.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: FTK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 28th percentile) and market pricing in only 3.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.30
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTK is currently trading at $17.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.64 to $18.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.91, while resistance sits at $18.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.91, while resistance sits at $18.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$16.64 -
$18.42
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.64 -
$18.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.08
(12.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.91
Resistance Level
$18.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.79
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
562.5%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.05
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$18.75
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$19.48
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -15.6%)
$14.27
(+-18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$12.66
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$10.76
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$17.90
(+3%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$16.27
(-6%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$11.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ryan Gillis Ezell
SELL
87187 shares
2025-08-14
James Bond Clement
SELL
45732 shares
2025-08-13
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