FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$79.05
0.85 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
-4.49%
30d:
+0.03%
90d:
-3.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
FTNT is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $85 2026-04-17 with 4,035 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.59
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $79.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.52 to $83.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.42, while resistance sits at $86.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.06 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.42, while resistance sits at $86.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.06 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$78.52 -
$83.86
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.06)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$78.52 -
$83.86
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.42
Resistance Level
$86.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.89
Wall Street Target
$89.06
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.60
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.22
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$71.92
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$78.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$108.25
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$101.27
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$86.08
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$122.42
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.7%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$111.29
(+35%)
Market implied 36.7%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$55.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 26.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.69
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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Advanced FTNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.
