FULT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FULT - Fulton Financial Corp

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$20.65
0.01 (0.05%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FULT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.01
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.01
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FULT is currently trading at $20.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.60 to $20.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FULT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FULT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.05 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $19.60 - $20.43
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.05)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $19.60 - $20.43
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.56
Resistance Level $21.24
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.00
Wall Street Target $23.05 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.7%
Profit Margin 30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.31 (-2%)
2-Year Target $19.98 (-3%)
3-Year Target $19.67 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $20.76 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.8%) $64.13 (+211%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 7.8%) $25.88 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 7.8%) $22.00 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case $24.50 (+19%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case $22.27 (+8%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case $13.74 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.5
Stabilization Target: $21.79 (+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Philip Wenger SELL 5000 shares 2025-09-12

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Advanced FULT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FULT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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