FUNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FUNC - First United Corp

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$38.33
0.20 (0.52%) β–²
5d: +4.24%
30d: +0.63%
90d: +9.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.18
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.02
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FUNC is currently trading at $38.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.03 to $38.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FUNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.35, while resistance sits at $39.95.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $37.03 - $38.62
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.03 - $38.62
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.35
Resistance Level $39.95
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.13
Wall Street Target $42.00 (+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.2%
Profit Margin 29.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.41 (+0%)
2-Year Target $38.48 (+0%)
3-Year Target $38.56 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’9) PE COMPRESSION $38.45 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.7%) $123.51 (+222%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.7%) $50.55 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 9.7%) $42.96 (+12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case $44.67 (+17%)
Analyst growth 9.4%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case $40.61 (+6%)
Market implied 9.4%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case $25.25 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Irvin Robert Rudy SELL 2000 shares 2025-08-26

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More Analysis for FUNC

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