G Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

G - GENPACT LIMITED

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$44.10
-0.51 (-1.14%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your G Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: G shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.59
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: G is currently trading at $44.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.35 to $47.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, G is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: G has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.18 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $45.35 - $47.82
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.18)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $45.35 - $47.82
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.87
Resistance Level $46.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.29
Wall Street Target $51.18 (+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Profit Margin 11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.3 vs 11.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.03 (-1%)
2-Year Target $43.46 (-3%)
3-Year Target $42.89 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $44.45 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.2%) $114.76 (+157%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.2%) $58.09 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.2%) $49.38 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case $63.48 (+42%)
Analyst growth 27.5%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case $57.71 (+29%)
Market implied 27.5%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case $30.78 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.7
Stabilization Target: $46.23 (+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush Mehta SELL 76902 shares 2025-09-12
Balkrishan Kalra SELL 55000 shares 2025-09-11
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-08-21

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