GBCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBCI - Glacier Bancorp Inc
$44.67
0.92 (2.10%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-2.64%
90d:
-0.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.90
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.99
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBCI is currently trading at $44.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.09 to $46.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$43.09 -
$46.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($56.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.09 -
$46.92
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.17
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.30
Resistance Level
$45.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.02
Wall Street Target
$56.50
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.2%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.96
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$40.24
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$38.59
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$43.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$126.13
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 15.7%)
$67.83
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$57.66
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$87.20
(+97%)
Analyst growth 82.9%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$79.28
(+79%)
Market implied 82.9%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$29.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$49.50
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ryan Thomas Screnar
BUY
187 shares
2026-02-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-15
Lee Kenneth Groom
BUY
2425 shares
2025-11-06
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