GBCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GBCI - Glacier Bancorp Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$50.68
0.75 (1.50%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GBCI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.39
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.15
0.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GBCI is currently trading at $50.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.34 to $48.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $51.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GBCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $45.34 - $48.89
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $45.34 - $48.89
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.50
Resistance Level $51.06
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.72
Wall Street Target $56.50 (+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.0%
Profit Margin 24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.33 (-1%)
2-Year Target $48.74 (-2%)
3-Year Target $48.15 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $49.85 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.7%) $125.85 (+152%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 15.7%) $77.41 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 15.7%) $65.80 (+32%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case $98.02 (+93%)
Analyst growth 82.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case $89.11 (+76%)
Market implied 82.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case $33.29 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.2
Stabilization Target: $51.69 (+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GBCI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GBCI price and gamma walls.

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