GDEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEN - Golden Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$26.92
-0.21 (-0.77%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GDEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GDEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEN is currently trading at $26.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.01 to $27.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.4) is in line with its historical norms (32.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 750.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GDEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GDEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$27.01 -
$27.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
51th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GDEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 51th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.01 -
$27.65
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.56
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.70
Resistance Level
$28.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.36
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
750.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.4 vs 32.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$26.64
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$26.40
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→32)
$27.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.4, Growth: 133.8%)
$91.56
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 133.8%)
$65.10
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 133.8%)
$55.34
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 31.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.87
Bull Case
$32.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case
$27.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.3
Bear Case
$20.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.4 to 32.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.94
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GDEN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GDEN price and gamma walls.
