GFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFR - Greenfire Resources Ltd.
$5.45
-0.09 (-1.62%)
βΌ
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 16, 2026
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1 traders called GFR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: GFR trades at premium valuation expecting 67.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
π HOLD: GFR trades at premium valuation expecting 67.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFR is currently trading at $5.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.65 to $5.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 545.0) compared to its historical average (115.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 67.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $5.73.
Market Sentiment: GFR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $5.73.
Market Sentiment: GFR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$4.65 -
$5.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 67.9% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.65 -
$5.30
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.85
Resistance Level
$5.73
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
545.00
Wall Street Target
$5.75
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
20.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+67.9% premium
PE vs Historical
545.0 vs 115.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+67.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.17
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$12.26
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$18.39
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 545β115)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.89
(-29%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 545.0, Growth: -98.8%)
$3.97
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -98.8%)
$0.16
(-97%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -98.8%)
$0.14
(-98%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$3.03
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.9
Base Case
$2.75
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$3.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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