GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$44.75
-0.61 (-1.34%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.70
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $44.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.58 to $45.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.90 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.90 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$44.58 -
$45.50
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.58 -
$45.50
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.31
Resistance Level
$46.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$53.90
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.6%
Profit Margin
49.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.72
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$46.09
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$46.46
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$94.71
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$62.14
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$52.82
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79
Bull Case
$54.73
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$49.76
(+11%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$30.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Scott Urdang
SELL
3000 shares
2025-08-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GLPI price and gamma walls.
