GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$44.42
0.11 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
-10.75%
90d:
-0.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.67
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.43
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $44.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.38 to $49.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.37 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.37 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$45.38 -
$49.05
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($54.37)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.38 -
$49.05
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.64
Resistance Level
$47.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.33
Wall Street Target
$54.37
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
51.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.27
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$42.14
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$41.04
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$44.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$77.66
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$50.32
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$42.78
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$57.21
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$52.01
(+13%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$31.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$47.99
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 6:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Desiree A Burke
SELL
9804 shares
2026-02-27
Brandon John Moore
SELL
16884 shares
2026-02-24
Brandon John Moore
SELL
114 shares
2026-02-23
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