GM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GM - General Motors Company
$73.44
0.45 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-6.7%
90d:
-11.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
GM is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-04-17 with 1,943 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.46
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.90
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GM is currently trading at $73.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.62 to $80.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.08 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.08 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$73.62 -
$80.22
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.3% below Wall St target ($95.08)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.62 -
$80.22
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.10
Resistance Level
$78.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.25
Wall Street Target
$95.08
(+30.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.6%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.89
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$65.04
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$61.39
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$72.44
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$433.06
(+493%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$101.58
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$86.34
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$160.18
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$145.62
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$49.51
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.12
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
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2026-01-22
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